STRATFOR E-Mail #7: Re: OBL take -- quick response needed

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Re: OBL take -- quick response needed

Email-ID        1146487

Date    2011-05-14 01:47:27

From    [email protected]

To      [email protected], [email protected], [email protected]

ISI should know by now since they have the homeowner. There is much more

to the story on The Courier which ISI doesn't know.

 

On 5/13/2011 6:18 PM, Kamran Bokhari wrote:

 

You know this reminds me of a discussion I had on NPR's Diane Rehm Show

back in July '07. I was on with Peter Brookes (former deputy assistant

secretary of defense for Asian and Pacific affairs in the second Bush

administration) and the State Dept's current CT Coordinator, Daniel

Benjamin. These two guys kept saying how ObL was in the tribal belt

while I argued that he was much deeper in K-P province. God knows how

many years were wasted chasing the sob in the tribal belt.

 

On 5/13/2011 7:04 PM, Fred Burton wrote:

 

The investigative key would be two prong to uncover the links to Paki

ISI and Mil:

 

1) The Homeowner

 

2) The Courier

 

Both are known quantities.

 

On 5/13/2011 5:56 PM, Kamran Bokhari wrote:

 

Could be anyone of Lt. Col or below rank. Then again it could be a

retired military officer still serving as a civie in the

directorate. Or a consultant/contractor who work in the field. Or

even a civilian official (60 percent are civilians in the ISI).

Since most army officers including the chief are deputed to the ISI

for a max of 3 years, we are really talking about people who are

career intel officers. Then there is a large cadre of retired army

personnel outside the security establishment. Good luck sifting

through the jungle.

 

On 5/13/2011 5:29 PM, Fred Burton wrote:

 

Not further specified. But, it may help explain why the ISI chief

has offered to resign, which is the noble way out. He can be the

fall guy for domestic consumption. It would be best if he

defected.

 

On 5/13/2011 4:23 PM, Kamran Bokhari wrote:

 

What does source mean by mid to senior level. As for retired, I

can think of a number of them. So, that is not really

surprising.

 

On 5/13/2011 2:27 PM, [email protected] wrote:

 

Same response as before:

 

Mid to senior level ISI and Pak Mil with one retired Pak Mil

General that had knowledge of the OBL arrangements and safe

house.

 

Names unk to me and not provided.

 

Specific ranks unk to me and not provided.

 

But, I get a very clear sense we (US intel) know names and

ranks.

 

I also do not know if we have passed this info to the GOP.

 

If I was in command, I would not pass the info to the GOP,

because we can't trust them. I would piece meal the names off

and bury in a list of other non-related names for internal ISI

traces in a non-alerting fashion, to see what the Pakis tell

us.

 

I may also trade one or two names for the captured tail

rudder.

 

Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

 

----------------------------------------------------------------------

 

From: Fred Burton

Date: Fri, 13 May 2011 12:22:31 -0500 (CDT)

To: Kamran Bokhari

Cc: Sean Noonan; Secure

List

Subject: Re: OBL take -- quick response needed

I may be able to get that, let me ask.

 

On 5/13/2011 12:21 PM, Kamran Bokhari wrote:

 

No surprises here. We will never find out their departments

but their ranks would be very telling.

 

On 5/13/2011 11:19 AM, Sean Noonan wrote:

 

awesome. Please see what you can find out about what kind

of department they are in, or area they cover.

 

On 5/13/11 9:58 AM, Fred Burton wrote:

 

More on # 3 --

 

Several w/in ISI and Pak Mil, less than 12.

 

More on this later.

 

 

On 5/12/2011 3:26 PM, Sean Noonan wrote:

 

1 specific operational plans

 

2 communications with franchise groups (like AQAP)

 

3 connections to anyone associated with the Pakistani state

 

 

------Original Message------

From: Fred Burton

To: Secure List

Subject: OBL take -- quick response needed

Sent: May 12, 2011 15:25

 

I can get access to the materials seized from the OBL safe house.

 

What are the top (not 45) questions we want addressed?

 

 

--

 

Sean Noonan

 

Tactical Analyst

 

Office: +1 512-279-9479

 

Mobile: +1 512-758-5967

 

Strategic Forecasting, Inc.

 

www.stratfor.com

 

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