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STRATFOR E-Mail #22: Re: [MESA] FW: [Analytical & Intelligen

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  1. Re: [MESA] FW: [Analytical & Intelligence Comments] RE: Missteps in the Syrian Opposition's Propaganda Effort
  2. Email-ID        5501231
  3. Date    2011-12-15 21:10:45
  4. List-Name       [email protected]
  5. i trust ME1 on this question. i hate this region, aaaaargh
  6.  
  7. ----------------------------------------------------------------------
  8.  
  9. From: "Karen Hooper"
  10. To: "Middle East AOR"
  11. Sent: Thursday, December 15, 2011 1:56:47 PM
  12. Subject: Re: [MESA] FW: [Analytical & Intelligence Comments] RE: Missteps
  13. in the Syrian Opposition's Propaganda Effort
  14.  
  15. I found OS reports of them being Alawite, as well, but it was a truly
  16. mixed bag. Nothing seems to agree.
  17.  
  18. Karen Hooper
  19. Latin America Analyst
  20. STRATFOR
  21. T: 512.744.4300 x4103
  22. C: 512.750.7234
  23. www.STRATFOR.com
  24. On 12/15/11 1:45 PM, Nick Grinstead wrote:
  25.  
  26. could ME1 be wrong? We've got overwhelming OS vs one source. Not saying
  27. that ME1 is lying but maybe they're misinformed as well. We should dig
  28. into this more before we give an answer.
  29.  
  30. ----------------------------------------------------------------------
  31.  
  32. From: "Omar Lamrani"
  33. To: "Reva Bhalla"
  34. Cc: "Middle East AOR" , "CT AOR"
  35. Sent: Thursday, December 15, 2011 8:52:28 PM
  36. Subject: Re: [MESA] FW: [Analytical & Intelligence Comments] RE:
  37. Missteps in the Syrian Opposition's Propaganda Effort
  38.  
  39. Wow, that is crazy. Overwhelmingly OS is reporting that they are Sunni.
  40. Some reports even talk about the exact tribal affiliation of Shawkat as
  41. coming from the Sunni tribe of Bani Khaled.
  42.  
  43. On 12/15/11 11:36 AM, Reva Bhalla wrote:
  44.  
  45. well, shit. most of the OS info on them is wrong. ME1 is saying
  46. they're Alawites.
  47.  
  48. Goddamnit. I'll write to the reader and work with the writers to
  49. include a correction. Lesson learned - don't trust OS on verifying
  50. sectarian affiliation.
  51.  
  52. ----------------------------------------------------------------------
  53.  
  54. From: "Omar Lamrani"
  55. To: "Middle East AOR"
  56. Cc: "Reva Bhalla" , "CT AOR"
  57. Sent: Thursday, December 15, 2011 9:50:16 AM
  58. Subject: Re: [MESA] FW: [Analytical & Intelligence Comments] RE:
  59. Missteps in the Syrian Opposition's Propaganda Effort
  60.  
  61. I concur with Reva, I have read multiple reports in multiple languages
  62. that indicate these guys are Sunni.
  63.  
  64. On 12/15/11 9:32 AM, Reva Bhalla wrote:
  65.  
  66. the background material I've seen and re-read on these two guys is
  67. that they are Sunni. I sent a message to ME1 this morning to verify
  68. once again what their sect is
  69.  
  70. ----------------------------------------------------------------------
  71.  
  72. From: "scott stewart"
  73. To: "Middle East AOR" , "CT AOR"
  74.  
  75. Sent: Thursday, December 15, 2011 9:21:56 AM
  76. Subject: [MESA] FW: [Analytical & Intelligence Comments] RE:
  77. Missteps in the Syrian Opposition's Propaganda Effort
  78.  
  79. Is this guy correct?
  80.  
  81. On 12/15/11 9:58 AM, "[email protected]"
  82. wrote:
  83.  
  84. >[email protected] sent a message using the contact form at
  85. >https://www.stratfor.com/contact.
  86. >
  87. >In your analysis you have mentioned that Assef Shawkat and Ali
  88. Mamalouk
  89. >are
  90. >Sunni Muslim. That is wrong they both are Alawite. Mistakes like
  91. that put
  92. >
  93. >your credibility in question.
  94. >
  95. >
  96. >
  97. >
  98. >Source:
  99. >http://www.stratfor.com/analysis/20111213-missteps-syrian-oppositions-prop
  100. >aganda-effort
  101.  
  102. --
  103. Omar Lamrani
  104. ADP
  105. STRATFOR
  106. 221 W. 6th Street, Suite 400
  107. Austin, TX 78701
  108. www.STARTFOR.com
  109.  
  110. --
  111. Omar Lamrani
  112. ADP
  113. STRATFOR
  114. 221 W. 6th Street, Suite 400
  115. Austin, TX 78701
  116. www.STARTFOR.com
  117.  
  118. --
  119. Nick Grinstead
  120. Regional Monitor
  121. STRATFOR
  122. Beirut, Lebanon
  123. +96171969463